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Press release -

China: Danish low-carbon scenarios model for Chinese 2050 scenarios

High share of renewable energy and focus on CO2-reduction. These are the main drivers for an ambitious scenario study launched by the Chinese National Renewable Energy Centre (CNREC) and the Danish Energy Agency.

The set-up and methodology of the scenario analysis is inspired by the work of the Danish Climate Commissions and experiences from this work is currently being transferred to the Chinese experts in CNREC.

The CNREC-DEA scenario study looks at possible development in deployment of renewable energy in China to 2050. Both the result of the current ambition-level and more ambitious scenarios with very high share of renewables are being analysed. The scenarios comprise technical and economic assessments and comparisons between the different scenarios, and also the integration of the fluctuating wind power and solar power is being assessed in order to make the scenarios feasible. It is challenging to increase the share of renewable with a continuing growth in the energy demand in China, but the drives for such an effort are also h2: reduction of global and local pollution, strengthening the security of supply and strengthen of the Chinese RE industry which has been selected as one of the strategic emerging industries in the last five-year plans.  

The preliminary results of the study will be ready in spring 2013, and the final findings of the study will be ready mid-2013. The results of the study may be used in a second phase, where data input and calculation and optimization methods are refined and carried out in more detail.

The scenario analyses are part of establishing a h2 analytic platform within CNREC, which enables the centre to deliver high quality policy research to the Chinese policy makers.

Niels Bisgaard Pedersen
Fuldmægtig
Center for Global Rådgivning og Forhandling
Tlf.: 23 39 36 66
nbp@ens.dk

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The Danish Energy Agency is responsible for tasks linked to energy production, supply and consumption, as well as Danish efforts to reduce carbon emissions. The Agency is also responsible for supporting the economical optimisation of utilities that in addition to energy includes water, waste and telecommunication.

We are also responsible for user conditions, supply obligation and telecommunication statistics, as well as water supply and waste management.

The Danish Energy Agency was established in 1976, and is an agency under the Ministry of Climate, Energy and Utilities.

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Ture Falbe-Hansen

Ture Falbe-Hansen

Press contact Head of Media Relations Danish Energy Agency +45 25 13 78 46
Morten Christensen

Morten Christensen

Press contact Team Leader Danish Energy Agency +45 3392 6858

Welcome to Danish Energy Agency!

The work of the Danish Energy Agency involves matters relating to energy supply and consumption, as well as Danish efforts to reduce carbon emissions. The Agency is also responsible for Danish building policy and promotes more sustainable building with regard to energy consumption, use of materials and economic issues.

The Agency is responsible for the entire chain of tasks linked to energy production and supply, transportation and consumption, including energy efficiency and savings as well as Danish national CO2 targets and initiatives to limit emissions of greenhouse gasses. The Agency supports building-policy initiatives to increase the productivity and quality of building as well as the operation and maintenance of buildings, with focus on sustainable building. The Agency also collaborates with the building sector to establish a good framework for the industry.

The Danish Energy Agency was established in 1976, and is an agency under the Ministry of Climate, Energy and Utilities.

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